17 hours ago, Tarrasque said:

but wouldn't make more sense to apply for a position I know I qualify for rather than guessing at it? 

Since you are unsure if you qualify, you don't qualify. But apply anyway. 

3 hours ago, Tarrasque said:

So I agree with you that it is very important to apply so they see your name as a possible candidate, but I also want to make sure I can at least tread water in an interview. 

It's unlikely that you'll get that far if you're clearly unqualified for a position, and even if you do: well, it's valuable experience. I mean not a pleasant experience but valuable none-the-less.

Good luck in your job search!